一 | "It’s pretty clear that no one on either side of the aisle think the name-switch to 'Inflation Reduction Act' has anything to do with the idea that the legislation is designed to reduce inflation," explained Michael R. Englund, principal director and chief economist for Action Economics.,"I think US politicians are increasingly resigned to the view that neither side is able to change public opinion, so the goal is simply to push through their agendas and raise funds for elections. The title change made Manchin’s vote a smidgeon easier, and maybe that tipped the scales.",The newly signed law levies a 15% minimum tax on large corporations and offers tax credits and discounts on everything from electric cars to solar energy. It also looks to cap out-of-pocket drug costs and reduce the federal deficit by $305 billion over roughly the next decade, according to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). However, despite its name, it does not offer an immediate curb on inflation which still stays at a 40-year high in the US.,When asked by Fox News reporter Hillary Vaughn whether the bill will immediately have an impact on galloping prices, Democratic Senator Joe Manchin responded, "Well, immediately it’s not. We've never [said] anything would happen immediately, like turn the switch on and off.",Americas‘Addicted to Spending Your Money’: US Republican Slams Democrats Over Inflation Reduction ActYesterday, 15:26 GMT,The bill was passed by the Senate on August 7 in a party-line vote using budget reconciliation, which allowed the Dems to ram the legislation through the upper chamber with a simple majority rather than needing to meet a 60-vote threshold. None of GOP lawmakers voted for the bill and remain highly skeptical about it.,"It does nothing to bring the economy out of stagnation and recession, but rather, the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022 gives us higher taxes, more spending, higher prices and an army of IRS agents,” said Senator Mike Crapo of Idaho, the top Republican on the Senate Finance Committee, as quoted by National Review.,The media outlet further cites an independent analysis performed by the University of Pennsylvania Wharton School which stated that despite its name, the bill’s impact on inflation is "expected to be statistically indistinguishable from zero.",Furthermore, GOP lawmakers have repeatedly warned that the Biden administration's spending spree may further facilitate already soaring inflation. Meanwhile, the latest $739 billion measure comes after the passage of the Democratic Party's $1.9 trillion spending bill in March 2021 and a $1.2 trillion bipartisan infrastructure spending bill in November 2021.,"Raising taxes and spending is doing the exact opposite of how to truly curb price inflation," said Tom Luongo, a financial and political commentator. "All they did was mandate a bunch of price controls (on drugs, for example) which will ultimately create shortages for things with inelastic demand, further exasperating existent cost-push inflation pressures. Price floors and price ceilings create shortages. The net effect will be higher prices. With the government now more openly subsidizing specific sectors of the economy, they will ensure an increase in demand while capping the supply.",GOP Lawmakers Blast Biden’s ‘Inflation Reduction Act’, Say It Will Make Inflation Worse7 August, 19:05 GMT,Dems Need the Law to Campaign in Midterm Elections,According to the observers, the bill's major purpose is to reinvigorate the Democratic Party's base ahead of the November midterm election and stop Joe Biden's approval rating slide. A Politico-Morning Consult poll released on Wednesday indicated that the US president's approval rating ticked up 3 percentage points after the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act. At the same time, the number of registered voters who disapproved of Biden's job performance dropped from 59% to 56%.,"[The law] will give the Democrats something to campaign on," said Luongo. "They can now point to this act and say, 'See! We care about your drug prices but pay no attention to the insane rise in price of food, rent, gas and taxes… or those 87,000 armed IRS agents now being trained to take your couch money'.",However, "the net impact of the bill is that it may modestly boost Democrat turnout in November, and it may modestly boost Democratic fundraising," projected Englund, adding that "this comes at the risk of some modest boost for Republican turnout and fundraising that negates the benefit.","I’m not sure that, overall, the legislation is impactful enough to ultimately change the likely November electoral outcome," the economist said.,Still, there is more to the Inflation Reduction Act than meets the eye, according to Luongo: the financial commentator believes that "in the long run, this bill is a poison pill.","[The law] is designed to ensure inflation returns with a vengeance while the GOP is in power so that they can campaign on that in 2024. Honestly, it’s just so tiresome," Luongo concluded.。 New York-traded West Texas Intermediate (WTI) settled down 97 cents, or almost 1%, at $98.53. The intraday low was $95.17, a bottom not seen since the week ended April 8. In just two sessions, the US crude benchmark had lost almost $15 or 14%.,Citigroup says WTI could collapse to $65 a barrel by the end of this year and slump to $45 by end-2023 if a demand-crippling recession hits.,London-traded Brent crude, settled at $100.69, down $2.08 or 2.02%. Earlier, it broke below the $100 mark the first time since April 25, hitting a session low of $98.59. Like WTI, Brent has also lost almost $15, or 13%, over two days of trading.,West May Use Proposed Russian Oil Price Cap Scheme for Gas Price, Von Der Leyen SaysYesterday, 12:20 GMT,A cluster of economic data of late has suggested that the United States may be headed for an economic slowdown - possibly a recession - as the Federal Reserve embarks on the most aggressive rate hikes in a generation to tame inflation roaring at 40-year highs.,A closely-watched gauge of the US services sector fell to its lowest in 20 months in June.,Separately, the US Labor Department signaled that the red-hot labor market may be starting to cool. Job openings, as measured by its monthly survey, fell in May, to a level of 11.254 million that is still high by historical comparison.,The job openings data came ahead of Friday’s more important June non-farm payrolls report, which is expected to show a smaller jobs growth compared with May. Economists say some 268,000 payrolls were probably added last month - versus the 390,000 in May - holding unemployment at 3.6% for a third straight month. A jobless rate of 4% or below is seen by the Federal Reserve as full employment.,“While our view remains that higher consumer prices are required to balance the oil market this summer, we acknowledge that significant and large shocks continue to distort fundamentals,” Goldman Sachs said in an energy market outlook.,Blockage of Russian Bond Payments to Erode Dollar Dominance, French Economist Says27 June, 15:29 GMT,A rocketing dollar ahead of more rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, or Fed, has also shaken the roots of the energy rally seen since the start of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in February and the resulting sanctions on Moscow.,The Dollar Index, which pits the greenback against six major currencies, continued its ascent from overnight, leaping to above 107, its highest since December 2002. The dollar has rallied with few stops since November last year on bets of aggressive rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, or Fed, which has just started delivering on those expectations.,The drone of recession talk is expected to get louder across the United States after the Atlanta division of the Federal Reserve forecast last week a second straight quarter of economic decline for the year. The Commerce Department officially reported a 1.6% economic contraction in the first quarter.,The Federal Reserve, in minutes of its June policy meeting released on Wednesday, said it saw a real danger of high inflation becoming entrenched in the US economy and the only way to balance runaway prices with growth was to have appropriate interest rate hikes.,The central bank is expected to push ahead with another three-quarter percentage point interest rates hike this month, potentially taking key lending rates to between 2.25% and 2.5% range from the 0 - 0.25% range they stood at in February.。
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